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East Side Access: The cost and delays

The cost of the MTA’s East Side Access megaproject has risen again — this time by another $995 million, to about $11.2 billion. That’s more than 2 1/2 times the original estimate when the project was first proposed in the 1990s.

See how both the cost and the timeline had shifted over time, and read more here about why the MTA says those increases have occurred.

In 1999

it was supposed to cost

$4.3 billion

and be completed by 2009.

In 2003

it was supposed to cost

$5.3 billion

and be completed by 2011.

In 2004

it was supposed to cost

$6.3 billion

and be completed by 2012.

In 2009

it was supposed to cost

$7.3 billion

and be completed by 2016.

In 2012

it was supposed to cost

$8.3 billion

and be completed by 2019.

In 2014

it was supposed to cost

$9.7 billion

and be completed by 2021.

In 2015

it was supposed to cost

$10.2 billion

and be completed by 2022.

Today

it is supposed to cost

$11.2 billion

and be completed by 2022.

Newsday’s NY Emmy winners & nominees

2018 NY EMMYS

The Cost of Corruption

Emmy winner 2018

The Cost of Corruption

A dumpster-diving whistleblower shed light on alleged corruption in the town of Oyster Bay. After two years reporting on the story, federal investigators have brought charges against Nassau's top politician and his wife, and a town's supervisor, in a case that began with a local restaurateur.

Viva Africa

Emmy winner 2018

Viva Africa

Shadrack Boakye, who came to Brentwood as a refugee from Liberia, Africa, now writes and directs youth-oriented plays on Long Island with the Truth Urban Theater Group.

In Love and Death

Emmy winner 2018

In Love and Death

During the hardest period of their lives, families turn to Vanessa Zenz, a funeral director, for comfort during their grief. Her sincere care for her job and the people she meets and takes care of is anything but ordinary.

Precedent: Reflecting on Japanese internment

Emmy winner 2018

Precedent: Reflecting on Japanese internment

Internment survivors Mitsue Salador and Madeleine Sugimoto, along with Robert Machida, whose uncle and aunt were among thousands of Japanese-Americans interned by the U.S. federal government during World War II, share their experiences and discuss how the 1940's atmosphere relates to today's rhetoric.

Bomba drum-making

Emmy winner 2018

Bomba drum-making

Joe Santiago says he hopes to pass the tradition of making bomba drums along to the next generation.

A musical resurrection

Emmy winner 2018

A musical resurrection

David Herman restores instruments rescued from the Holocaust to revive their voices and give them a new life.

Winemaker and Boatbuilder

Emmy winner 2018

Winemaker and Boatbuilder

Trent Preszler is CEO of Bedell Vineyards, and in his spare time has taught himself to build canoes. His Mattituck workshop is called Preszler Woodshop, and he employs traditional techniques to bend and hone hundreds of strips of assorted wood to fashion his canoes.

How Hewlett’s helmet sensors work

Emmy winner 2018

How Hewlett’s helmet sensors work

Hewlett High School invested in sensor technology to monitor the safety of its athletes in football and boys lacrosse. It became the first high school on Long Island to use a new sensor system from Canada-based GForceTracker. Here's how it works.

Helmets optional for high school girls lacrosse players

Emmy winner 2018

Helmets optional for high school girls lacrosse players

High school girls lacrosse players now have the option of wearing new lacrosse-specific helmets, renewing a decade-old debate over whether headgear will make the game more physical and aggressive.

Softball pitchers turning to protective facemasks

Emmy winner 2018

Softball pitchers turning to protective facemasks

Some high school pitchers on Long Island are now choosing to wear a protective facemask since there has been increased awareness in all sports about the dangers of head injuries.

Sanctuaries

Emmy nominee 2018

Sanctuaries

Seven religious leaders tell us how they view “sanctuary.” Even though the term is rooted in shared principles, each of the faith-based communities offer a unique perspective on providing physical and spiritual refuge to those in need.

Remembering 1st Lt. Joseph Theinert

Emmy nominee 2018

Remembering 1st Lt. Joseph Theinert

First Lt. Joseph Theinert was killed in Afghanistan almost seven years ago when his unit was under heavy fire when an improvised bomb exploded near him. Theinert's parents are involved in giving support to veterans and Gold Star Families through the Joseph J. Theinert Memorial Fund.

The Cut

Emmy nominee 2018

The Cut

We examined the stories and dangers of cutting weight experienced by MMA fighters, boxers, wrestlers and jockeys.

Sylvia Smith

Emmy nominee 2018

Sylvia Smith

After serving as a waitress there for half her life, Smith says goodbye to the patrons and co-workers she regards as family.

Birthday Wishes

Emmy nominee 2018

Birthday Wishes

A Long Island organization, Birthday Wishes, throws birthday parties for children living in homeless shelters. Newsday takes you along to a few parties and peers into the lighter moments of a mother and son's time in a shelter made a little brighter by the organization.

2017 NY EMMYS

The Last Trailer Park

Emmy winner 2017

The Last Trailer Park

Inside the last trailer park in Nassau County, a tight-knit community has dispersed after a spirited 9-year legal battle that the residents were never equipped to fight. Newsday followed the last remaining family as it struggled against a deadline to find an alternative to becoming homeless.

Out of the Shadows: Remembering the Negro Leagues

Emmy winner 2017

Out of the Shadows: Remembering the Negro Leagues

From archival interviews with Negro League legends Buck O'Neil and Monte Irvin to commentary from contemporary baseball figures lJoe Torre, Curtis Granderson, Tony Clark and Rob Manfred, Newsday examines the history of Negro League baseball the breaking of the color barrier.

St. Nicholas Greek Orthodox Church recovers from fire

Emmy winner 2017

St. Nicholas Greek Orthodox Church recovers from fire

After a devastating fire last July, the congregants of St. Nicholas Greek Orthodox Church in West Babylon are finally back in their building. After months of rebuilding and the cleaning of icons, they will hold their Easter services inside their church on Sunday, May 1, 2016.

Chris Weidman: The Fighter and the Father

Emmy winner 2017

Chris Weidman: The Fighter and the Father

Explore the professional and personal lives of the former UFC champion Chris Weidman through a parallel video experience. Using a unique, dual-view technique, the viewer can toggle between two timelines, Weidman the father and Weidman the fighter.

2016 NY EMMYS

Life After Football

Emmy winner 2016

Life After Football

Newsday explores why so many former NFL players struggle while transitioning to life after football. Hear from former players including Wesley Walker, Boomer Esiason, and more.

Gabriel's World

Emmy winner 2016

Gabriel's World

It's probably safe to say you've never met a child like Gabriel Dispenziere. Gabriel, who has eosinophilic esophagitis, is allergic to nearly all food.

The Spice of Life

Emmy winner 2016

The Spice of Life

Nonagenarian Earl Fultz of East Marion finds a hot seller in cHarissa, a cumin-and-olive-oil-based condiment he bottles in tribute to his late wife, Gloria.

Hush

Emmy winner 2016

Hush

Chef Marc Anthony Bynum gave Newsday a behind-the-scenes look at the life and struggles of a chef trying to open his first restaurant.

2015 NY EMMYS

Reptile Guy

Emmy winner 2015

Reptile Guy

For Erik Callender, following his dream means teaching about dozens of reptiles, some rescued, to audiences at parties, schools and events.

Creating Sea Salt

Emmy winner 2015

Creating Sea Salt

Scott and Kassata Bollman of Southold run North Fork Sea Salt, a sea salt-making business. The young married couple create the salt from water harvested on the North Fork.

JFK's Message of Hope

Emmy winner 2015

JFK's Message of Hope

Sen. Charles Schumer, Rep. Peter King, former Gov. David Paterson and other politicians and historians share their views on JFK's legacy.

Eddie Gordon's rise in MMA

Emmy winner 2015

Eddie Gordon's rise in MMA

The story of how this Freeport resident went from a 300-pound former college football player to the winner of Season 19 of the UFC's Ultimate Fighter.

2014 NY EMMYS

Against all odds

EMMY WINNER 2014

Against all odds

Six Long Islanders who were diagnosed with terminal illnesses talk about their grim prognoses and how they overcame the odds to become survivors.

The new farmers

Emmy winner 2014

The new farmers

On the East End, where suburbia gives way to open spaces, a new breed of farmer takes root. They walked away from established jobs to till the earth. Local sustainable agriculture is not just their career, it's a lifestyle.

2013 NY EMMYS

Racer's struggle to go pro

Emmy winner 2013

Racer's struggle to go pro

Ben Rio, a Long Island motocross racer, is coping with the challenges of becoming a professional, while developing close relationships with the kids he mentors in the sport and helping them with their own challenges.

2012 NY EMMY WINNERS

9/11: A decade later

EMMY WINNER 2012

9/11: A decade later

From a laugh that has been silenced to a favorite recipe that remains uncooked, time does not heal all wounds. A decade after the terror attacks on the World Trade Center, more than 75 Long Island families who lost loves ones that morning shared on camera not only their stories, but their souls in this Emmy Award-winning multimedia project.

A little girl's fight to live

Emmy winner 2012

A little girl's fight to live

Marisa Carney, 5, was diagnosed with an extremely rare childhood brain disorder that causes uncontrollable obesity and breathing problems, putting the afflicted at risk for seizures, cardiac arrest and death. There are only 75 documented cases worldwide, no known cause and no cure.

Friday the 13th on Long Island: From the archives

Newsday illustration by Neville Harvey

Depending on whom you ask, it’s the luckiest — or unluckiest — day of the year. Or maybe it’s just another date on the calendar.

Friday the 13th is clouded in superstition and even has its own phobia — paraskevidekatriaphobia. For some, the day comes with a warning: Beware of the unfortunate, be cautious, stay inside.

Looking back in Newsday’s archives, it seems some may wish they’d heeded such advice while others found good fortune. From winning contests to a brush with death, here’s the good and the bad of Long Islanders’ experiences on Friday the 13th.

The luckiest place on earth

For a Port Jefferson Station family, Disney World isn’t only the happiest place, but the luckiest one.

On Friday, Oct. 13, 1995, Michelle Davi, her husband John and their children John and Jenna were the 500 millionth guests at the park. And for that, Disney gave them lifetime passes to its theme parks and threw a parade in their honor.

Davi recalled this week that the family was eight days into a 10-day Disney vacation and were getting ready to enter MGM Studios when she noticed a group of men in suits inside the entrance. Then, as she pushed the family stoller through the gates, she was showered with confetti.

They continue to visit Disney parks regularly, bringing friends and family with them.

“Up until that time, I’d never really thought about Friday the 13th, but now I feel like it’s a really lucky day,” Davi, now 54, said. “It’s the most exciting thing that’s happened to us.”

‘Bad luck’ birthdays

As far as children’s birthday party themes go, “bad luck” isn’t a common one. But for Richard and Danny Dixon, there wasn’t any other option.

The brothers celebrated one shared birthday party each year with decorations that included black cats, ladders and broken mirrors. Richard was born on Friday, July 13, 1943, and Danny was born on Friday, April 13, 1944. Newsday spoke with the Dixon family before their July 1951 party.

The brothers, two of five children, lived at the former Mitchel Field Air Base. When asked, their mother Dolores Dixon told Newsday she did not plan on having eight more children to make 13.

Fourteen’s a charm

The Brodericks, of Brentwood, however, did have 13 children — and yet, it wasn’t enough. After having 13 sons, the couple finally had a daughter on Friday, Feb. 13, 1970.

“After the seventh or eighth we gave up and thought we’d never have a girl,” Mrs. Broderick told Newsday at the time. “My husband was so excited he called up everybody he could think of. He’d been so sure it would be another boy he’d already named it Richard Anthony.”

A series of unfortunate events

A rogue Chihuahua on a bus set off a bomb scare at Suffolk County’s Central Islip court complex on May 13, 2011.

Melvin Ruffin, 19, of Bellport, was due in court to address a disorderly conduct citation and took the bus to get there. But during the ride, the dog, which belonged to another bus passenger, relieved itself on his backpack.

Ruffin told authorities that he didn’t want to bring the urine-soaked bag into the court building, so he hid it in the bushes outside the district and federal courts.

But a retired police officer noticed what he thought was a “suspicious bag” and called authorities. A bomb squad robot determined the wet backpack contained only a change of clothes and Ruffin’s court papers. Ruffin was not charged.

A Holbrook family gets twice as lucky

In 1991, Luisa Patterson of Holbrook gave birth to a set of twins on Friday, Sept. 13. Five years later, on Friday, Sept. 13, 1996, it happened again.

Newsday caught up with the Patterson family at Huntington Hospital after the birth of their second set of twins, a 7-pound, 4-ounce girl, Gina Marie, and a 6-pound, 5-ounce boy, Jonathan Tyler, delivered via caesarean section.

Patterson and her husband Carlos already had another daughter in addition to their first set of twins. The second set came as a surprise, as the couple had not planned on having more children, Carlos Patterson told Newsday.

But they may have gotten lucky, he added.

“We can save money on birthdays,” he said. “We can just have one party.”

A daring rescue and a crisis averted

NYPD detectives jumped into action when scaffolding fell, leaving three workers dangling over an Upper East Side street on Friday, April 13, 2012.

NYPD Emergency Service Unit Dets. James Coll, of Seaford, and his partner Shawn Soler, of Coram, attached a rope to the building’s roof and rappelled down to the workers. Meanwhile, firefighters went into an apartment and pushed out the windows.

The detectives were able to grab the workers and move them inside safely. One worker was treated for minor injuries.

“We train for this often,” Coll told Newsday at the time. “I think the rescue went very well.”

All the right numbers

Several Long Island lottery tickets have proved lucky for their purchasers, despite the bad luck associated with Friday the 13th.

In 2009, Isabel Zelaya, of Wyandanch, won $26 million in a March 13 Mega Millions drawing. Zelaya said he was so excited, he quit his job and planned to travel, buy a new house, open a restaurant and share his winnings with his sister and two children.

Barbara Romanik, of Hicksville, and her sister, Christina DiLello, of Wilton, Conn., also won in the same drawing, taking home $1 million to split from a lucky Green and Gold scratch-off game.

Almost three years later, Daniel Bruckner and his wife Christine, of San Jose, California, purchased a Mega Millions ticket from a Middle Island King Kullen while visiting family on Long Island. The ticket turned out to be a lucky one in the Friday, Jan. 13, 2012 drawing — lucky enough to win them $208 million.

“It’s very surreal,” Bruckner told Newsday at the time.

Wedding rings become a needle in a haystack

Vicky Salzone, of West Babylon, was cleaning up Christmas decorations when she accidentally threw out her wedding rings with a stack of decorations on Friday, Jan. 13, 2017.

Finding tiny items at a garbage dump is like searching for a “needle in a haystack,” town officials told Newsday. But Salzone’s husband Joe, was determined and headed to the Town of Babylon’s Recycling Center, where Ed Wiggins, sanitation site crew leader, had halted processing.

“Within 20 minutes, I found the bag from my house,” Salzone said. “I knew the type of garbage bag I used, and they knew where mine would be because of my address.”

Despite the date, Vicky Salzone got her rings back.

How potholes form and how they’re fixed

Winter’s frost may be behind us, but with the arrival of spring comes another burden: potholes.

The swinging temperatures of early spring can traditionally wreak havoc on LI roads, sending highway crews scrambling as little craters emerge.

Here are the basics on how potholes form — and how they’re fixed.

How they’re formed

Water seeps through the cracks in the pavement and penetrates into the soil under the roadway.

Water freezes and expands, forcing the asphalt surface up and fracturing it.

Cars and trucks pass over the weakened surface, which collapses, creating a pothole.

How they’re fixed

Square the pothole edges as much as possible using a chisel or hammer.

Pour the repair material into the hole (overfill about 2-to-3 inches above the asphalt).

Compact the repair material with a tamper until a firm surface is achieved.

–Graphics by Rod Eyer

Future of Long Island Essays

A Better Long Island for All

By Bob Keeler

Perhaps the most difficult attitude to nurture in Long Islanders is regional thinking. Despite the best efforts of the Long Island Index and Newsday, the Long Island newspaper, regional thinking remains a still-desirable but still-distant goal. That is deeply disappointing to me, as a Long Islander, as an employee of Newsday for more than four decades, and as the author of a book about the paper, which also focused on the history of Long Island.

In the 1940s, the decade when both Newsday and I came into being, Long Island was essentially a collection of small villages separated by large trees. The number of trees has declined, the number of villages has increased, but the sense of regional interconnectedness has not grown nearly enough.

Yes, entities such as the Long Island Regional Planning Council and the Long Island Regional Economic Development Council have come into existence, and they perform useful roles. But the instinct of separateness and parochial thinking continue, untamed.

Take the Third Track for the Long Island Rail Road, between Hicksville and Floral Park. Research commissioned by the Index showed that it would produce major regional benefits. Still, local officials resisted, thinking locally instead of regionally. One of the great triumphs of the Rauch Foundation and the Index, through the creation of the Right Track for Long Island Coalition, has been overcoming that resistance and putting the Third Track on a promising road to completion.

Still, the array of more than 900 governments, from elevator districts to huge towns, has stood in the way of regional thinking and progress toward a sustainable future for Long Island. That progress requires less reliance on cars, better mass transit, and walkable downtowns—all key elements of what the Index research has shown Long Island needs.

“Cost aside, those many levels of government, and their varying rules and regulations, also slow the planning and development process and make it harder to move forward on the key issues impacting the region,” said the Index’s overview of issues impacting Long Island. “As a result, developers find it far easier to replicate the automobile-dependent, single-purpose suburb of the past than to create the mixed-use, transit-oriented and walkable downtowns the region needs for the future—and which young Long Islanders demand.”

In addition to the multiplicity of government units, the obstacles to a sustainable region include the proliferation of industrial development agencies, too often competing with one another and giving corporations tax breaks that do not produce the promised number of jobs.

Until we start to think as a single unified region, working toward the common good of its nearly three million residents, we will continue to be stuck with the reality that the Index has documented: the continuing loss of the young people who should be the region’s future. The Index has worked hard to produce the data that show what we need, what we have, and what we’re missing. Now it’s time for our local leaders to lead the way to the future with a strong dose of regional thinking.

Keeler is a former Newsday reporter and editor.

The Need to Tackle Segregation Head-On

By Elaine Gross

Long Island is renowned for being the nation’s first suburb – birthed with its tens of thousands of affordable new homes, federally financed to bring them within reach of GIs returning from World War II. But this wealth-building machine was explicitly for white people only. GIs who were black were summarily blocked from living in these new homes, just because they were black.

The racism was structural – brought about by both government and business – and it was interpersonal, with individuals actively carrying out the policies and discriminating to ensure that blacks didn’t slip in. This is Long Island’s legacy. Structural racism continues, and today other non-white groups are sometimes victimized as well.

Our housing is still segregated. Measuring residential segregation, Long Island is among the 10 most racially segregated metropolitan regions in the United States. White-to-black segregation levels remain severe. Segregation levels between whites and Hispanics, and whites and Asians, while not yet severe, are rising. Housing discrimination is still occurring. Local housing discrimination lawsuits are resulting in successful settlements.

Segregation levels in public schools are heading in the wrong direction. Between 2004 and 2016 the number of intensely segregated school districts (90-100% non-white) more than doubled, and students attending these segregated schools more than tripled.

Interestingly, the Long Island Index’s latest survey of Long Islanders shows significant differences by race concerning public education – with 60% of blacks saying that more should be done to integrate schools, compared to 49% of Hispanics and only 28% of whites. Whites are also dramatically more satisfied with the quality of public education than are blacks and Hispanics. (See accompanying graphic.)

The ongoing segregation and discrimination create indefensible disadvantages for certain Long Islanders and also deprive Long Island of talent and skills that the region needs to compete successfully in a 21st-Century economy. They are a self-inflicted drag on Long Island’s economic prosperity.

How can the current trajectory be reversed? A sizeable proportion of the current silent bystanders on Long Island will need to become champions for change in their own communities and with local and state governments. They will need to support laws, policies, and practices that dismantle segregation.

Structural problems require structural solutions. Yet too often the instinct is to leave structural racism in place and then wonder why efforts around the edges don’t make a lasting difference.

Regional cohesion and empathy across racial groups is far less likely, because people from different racial groups do not know each other, do not live together or go to school together, and as a result inhabit very different realities. Solving structural racism will require a shared understanding of history, objective facts about current challenges and how to address them, and familiarity with and empathy for people who are not like oneself.

The familiarity and empathy gaps on Long Island will not lessen if segregation remains so widespread and unchallenged. Central to the prosperity and sustainability of Long Island is the extent to which Long Islanders tackle segregation head-on.

Gross is Executive Director of ERASE Racism.

Build Apartments, and They Will Come

By Marianne Garvin

The economic future of Long Island depends on developing transit-oriented multifamily housing across all price points. That’s not instead of single-family neighborhoods; that’s to strengthen single-family neighborhoods.

We all know too well the complaints of excessive property taxes, unaffordable housing, not enough jobs, and young people leaving. That won’t change until Long Island offers more housing options, accessible to public transit, in settings that attract businesses and young people.

My experience building more than 1,000 affordable rental apartments, while leading the Community Development Corporation of Long Island (CDCLI), provides confidence that such essential developments will enhance the region’s traditional strengths and values – not undercut them. That experience suggests some guiding principles:

First, the housing should always be transit-oriented: near trains and/or buses. That provides easy access, enhances walkability, and reduces congestion and pollution. Walkability is key, because it increases community, strengthens local businesses, and provides a destination for those living downtown as well as those in nearby neighborhoods, which are reinforced in the process.

Second, the housing should be at all price points (with both ownership and rental options) for several reasons: to offer breadth of opportunity and choice to respond to diverse needs; to provide housing for those who work in local businesses as well as those who shop there, and to ensure that everyone, regardless of income, has money (not consumed by housing) to spend locally. It’s always easier to get approval for higher-cost housing, but it’s vital to have the full range.

Third, that range of housing should be located together – not separated. It should reinforce community, and it’s already happening. Wincoram Commons, which CDCLI co-developed, and the luxury Enclave at Charles Pond Apartments are located next to each other in Coram. Together they bring needed definition and vitality to the hamlet’s center.

Fourth, support for multifamily housing has grown on Long Island, as Long Islanders themselves seek more options. The 2017 Long Island Index survey shows that most Long Island residents support raising height limits in local downtowns from two to four stories to build apartments above stores. That proposal is especially popular among young Long Islanders (74% of those 18-34). And 26% of Long Islanders expect to live in an apartment, condo, or townhouse in five years (an increase of 11% from 2015).

That support is reinforced by growing evidence of downtown development. Downtowns like Patchogue, Copiague, and Rockville Center have permitted higher-density housing, and it has invigorated their centers as well as the surrounding neighborhoods. The benefits are no longer theoretical; they can be seen, experienced, and enjoyed over dinner.

Fifth, the greatest practical barrier going forward is no longer public opinion; now it’s outdated municipal zoning codes – often 50 or 60 years old. It will take time, effort, and expense to update them. But that’s no excuse; it’s essential.

Long Island is lopsided with single-family housing, and the multifamily housing that is needed will not change that reality. What it will do is provide a range of housing options and the economic vitality to sustain the region’s single-family neighborhoods in the 21st century.

Build apartments, and they will come. And they will be coming largely from Long Island.

Garvin was President & CEO of the Community Development Corporation of Long Island from 2009 to 2017.

Education and the Economy

By Tom Rogers

In the second half of the 20th century, Long Island was the beneficiary of the region’s strong economy, as both the host of a robust defense industry and the archetypical bedroom community for New York City. That economy has in turn built Long Island’s many regional assets, including and perhaps especially, its superb public education system. With the decline of the defense industry and growing cost of living, that symbiosis has come under stress. Long Island’s educational excellence has come at a price, and it would be delusional to presume it could endure a protracted period of austerity without damage.

Thus, Long Island is confronted with the challenge of reimagining itself as a regional economic powerhouse, not just the beneficiary of the happy coincidence of its location and legacy. But this region is not alone in seeking to establish a high-tech economic presence, and its ability to compete will fall far short of its potential should it suffer from Long Island’s chronic affliction of fragmentation. The window of opportunity hasn’t closed, but in the prescient words of the Long Island Index, “The Clock is Ticking.”

Fortunately, Long Island has internationally-renowned research institutions in the bio-tech, alternative energy, advanced materials engineering, and heath care fields that could be the foundation for this high-tech renaissance. Moreover, its public education system collaborates with these institutions to routinely produce more Intel, Siemens and Regeneron scholars from our two counties than from any other whole state in the country. But this has been driven more by internecine competition than a concerted plan to connect and leverage these assets in service of a regional economic development strategy.

While it’s unclear where the leadership will emerge to make this vision a reality, the first steps forward are apparent, if not easy. Though extraordinary, Long Island’s education system is far from perfect, as too many of Long Island’s educational opportunities and successes are shared unevenly along lines of race and income. This has been Long Island’s intractable challenge and regional shame for decades. The situation is exacerbated by fragmentation and underinvestment, so it’s clear it won’t be solved in the absence of collaboration and resources. A focused regional development strategy could direct investments towards partnerships supporting economic sectors highlighted as regional growth priorities. These priorities could in turn shape the education system. Just as schools focus on teaching New York’s unique history, we can be attentive to the unique skills and programs needed to build the region’s workforce.

Long Island is a high-cost region. It requires high-wage employment, which in turn requires high levels of skill and education. The education part of that equation and the region’s powerhouse industries and research institutions are Long Island’s twin advantages. Coupled, they could accelerate Long Island’s new economy, provide a pipeline of talent to its emerging industries, and slow its “brain drain” among young people. Long Island’s symbiosis between education and the economy can emerge from this stress stronger than ever; but it must evolve, and it can no longer afford to overlook the talent that is every bit as present in disadvantaged communities as it is in the Gold Coast.

Dr. Rogers is the Superintendent of the Syosset Central School District in Nassau County.

Moving a Region Forward

By Shuprotim Bhaumik

Long Island’s transformation from farmland to vibrant suburb started in the early 20th century and gained momentum after World War II, as our troops returned home and started families. In contrast to the dense, closely-packed, apartment buildings of New York City, from which many residents had moved, Long Island symbolized freedom – the ability to comfortably raise a family in a single detached home within commuting distance of the city and with easy access on leafy parkways to beaches for weekend outings. Nationally, Levittown became an iconic symbol of idyllic, affordable, suburban living.

In recent decades, the decline in good quality jobs, combined with increasing housing costs and property taxes, has led to a brain-drain of young working-age adults. According to the Long Island Index, The Island’s share of young adults (ages 25-34) dipped by 12 percent between 2000 and 2010, even as their numbers grew in NYC and the U.S. as a whole. Young educated workers, as well as empty-nesters, now wish to live in walkable transit-friendly communities that have great restaurants, distinctive shopping, and unique cultural attractions.

Not only is the urban experience becoming more in demand but residents are growing increasingly intolerant of sitting in traffic. And ongoing transit investments will make public transit an increasingly attractive option. The Third Track and Double Track, for instance, will both increase capacity and improve reliability. East Side Access will provide commuters a one-seat ride to Midtown East. Proposed new north-south transit options like the Nicolls Road BRT from Stony Brook University, with connections to the Ronkonkoma Hub and MacArthur Airport, will provide much-needed inter-regional mobility.

To complement these transit investments, a handful of towns and villages on Long Island are re-imagining the notion of suburbia in and around LIRR stations and downtowns with flexible zoning that encourages density, walkability, and a mix of uses. Communities such as Mineola, Farmingdale, Wyandanch, and Valley Stream have shown the way in creating a new suburbia that is anchored by public transit.

But more needs to be done. Throughout the New York metropolitan area, many municipalities are well on their way towards a future where fewer residents and workers rely on automobiles. Those communities are experiencing the clear benefits of transit in creating economic activity and attracting new residents and employers.

Long Island’s communities have a lot of catching up to do. Change is difficult, and increasing density brings fears of “becoming Queens.” But change can be designed to be both distinctive and attractive. And without bold moves, Long Island will stagnate, falling behind the rest of the region.

Transportation is changing before our eyes: soon driverless vehicles will be an integral part of our daily lives. Big ideas – such as a true north-south transit network, bicycle highways, and ambitious transit-oriented downtown developments – are key to keeping the region competitive, resilient, vibrant, and still distinctly Long Island.

Bhaumik is a Partner at HR&A Advisors.

Building Regional Leadership for the Innovation Economy

By Bruce Stillman

Long Island is in a remarkable position to capitalize on the innovation economy, an economy built around the latest research and development as well as a highly educated population. But we have a major challenge: a greater need for regional leadership in this area. Fortunately, it’s a challenge that we can overcome with enough collective effort.

The opportunity is extraordinary, because of Long Island’s many assets, including world-class research institutions, proximity to New York City, a celebrated lifestyle, and a strong legacy of innovation from the space age to the present. But the region’s government is broadly diffuse – with 665 government entities providing services, as the Long Island Index has underscored.

This raises an essential question if Long Island is to effectively pursue an innovation economy: Who is leading it?

If Long Island was a state, the Governor would oversee an office of economic development focused solely on Long Island. But that’s not the case.

On key issues like infrastructure and economic development, we look to Governor Andrew Cuomo, who fortunately has taken welcome action, for instance, to make the Long Island Rail Road’s Third Track a reality.

But Long Island must also “compete” with other regions in New York, so it is incumbent on us to take the lead and propose how we can most effectively move our innovation economy forward. This requires cooperation between both counties, their towns and villages and existing industries.

The challenge then is to expand our regional leadership, so that we can more aggressively champion the innovation economy on Long Island. To do that, we need to discuss and consider how to generate a powerful regional consensus. That consensus requires buy-in not only from the two counties and the State but also from the public and the region’s cities, towns, and villages, so that all parties are engaged, aligned, and committed to a shared future. Once a consensus is achieved, proposals put to the State have a much higher probability of succeeding. The Third Track is a great example.

The innovative regional leadership that we need for the innovation economy has several key components:

First, Long Island must articulate an increasingly distinctive and compelling vision for positioning itself in the innovation economy. What sectors of that economy can we dominate, as we did in past decades with aerospace and defense? How do we differentiate ourselves from the competition? What do we need to make ourselves not just competitive but unbeatable?

The Long Island Index has given us an extraordinary base of objective data – about our comparative strengths and weaknesses. We should continue to draw on it heavily.

That vision must provide a clearly articulated direction that can generate public support. It must enable us to be opportunistic and capitalize on emerging fields, where we are in the forefront.

Second, implementing the vision will require a multi-faceted strategy with such essential elements as facilitating entrepreneurship; recruiting business development experts and tech CEOs who can turn promising ideas into successful businesses; attracting companies that need more space, and developing clusters of companies so that talent can move among them.

Third, each element requires constant regional pursuit, tracking, and promotion.

To achieve these goals, I suggest that a Leadership Council be established so that our political, academic, and business leaders can meet to discuss and formulate ideas that may facilitate the new innovation economy. In essence, the Council should form a consensus that presents a vision on which we can build.

Long Island has an extraordinary opportunity to make the most of the innovation economy. Let’s now enhance our regional leadership to maximize the opportunity before us.

Stillman is President and CEO of Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.

Creating Alliances Among Long Island’s 665 Government Entities

By Jeffrey Kraut

Since its founding in 2002, the Long Island Index has facilitated the creation of a unifying future vision for our region by collecting and disseminating data that documents the challenges facing Long Islanders and monitors change. One persistent piece of data stands out: the number 665. That’s how many government entities exist on Long Island, including special districts providing basic services such as fire, police, sanitation, water, schools, and libraries.

Boundaries in government can be good; they define responsibility for our elected officials and create accountability to taxpayers who vote. But too many boundaries create inefficiency and drive up property taxes, which are legendary on Long Island, as duplication of services drives up costs.

A stunning example of that inefficiency appeared in the Index’s 2006 report, which revealed that Long Island’s 179 fire agencies had more fire trucks and apparatus than the City of New York and the City and County of Los Angeles combined! At the time, Long Island had 146 heavy rescue trucks at a cost of $750,000 a piece, for a total of $110 million, while New York City owned six – one per borough and a spare – for a total cost of $4.5 million.

The prospect of significantly reducing the number of government entities on Long Island may seem dim, but creating alliances and sharing services should be politically palatable and practical.

That approach could produce high-value opportunities to improve services, increase cost-effectiveness, and bend the cost curve of tax increases. The State of New York is encouraging this approach through its Shared Services Initiative – mandating last year that counties appoint working groups of local officials to identify ideas for sharing services, and agreeing to match any Year 1 savings that the towns and counties achieve.

I’ve seen the extraordinary benefits of sharing services right here on Long Island in my work at Northwell Health, which has evolved from a group of like-minded hospitals that came together to improve care and achieve economies of scale in response to rapid changes in the industry and significant reductions in federal and state funding. Each hospital had a board of trustees that aggressively valued its independence and local focus. But over time they recognized the benefits of sharing knowledge, pooling resources, and improving access – creating a regional health system that now provides the majority of care on Long Island and is the region’s largest employer.

New winds of change are blowing from Washington, DC that will increase pressure on all levels of government. The resulting demands of a highly taxed electorate may further alliances among the 665 government entities to reduce costs through economies of scale or improved services.

Fear of losing local control will be advanced as an obstacle to change, but with 665 government entities we need not fear losing local control. Instead we should recognize the shared interests of many of those entities and the rampant opportunity for increased efficiency and improved services. Long Islanders should actively support leaders who encourage cooperation and collaboration. It’s essential to reducing the economic consequences of government fragmentation on Long Island.

Kraut is Executive Vice President, Strategy and Analytics at Northwell Health.

The U.S. balance of trade with the world

The United States runs a deficit or surplus with its trading partners around the world that shifts from year to year. The country had an overall trade deficit of $568.4 billion dollars for goods and services in 2017, according to the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Here are the balances with 19 countries or groups for that year, in billions of dollars

Trade balances in 2017

The figure for the European Union includes Germany, France, Italy and the United Kingdom, which are listed separately in the chart as well. Similarly, the figures for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) includes Saudi Arabia, and Brazil is included in Central/South America.

Trade deficits and surpluses shift over time

Many countries shift over time from having surpluses or deficits with the United States. Before we show you the whole world’s U.S. trade picture since 1999, let’s look at just two countries, Brazil and Canada. In this chart, the thickness of the colored shape represents the size of the trade balance with the United States and the position above or below the $0 line indicates whether the United States has a surplus or deficit with that country.

So for example, with Brazil, the United States had a slight trading surplus from 1999 to 2002, then went into a deficit with them until 2007 and has had surpluses ever since.

With Canada, the United States had a trade deficit, sometimes substantial, from 1999 up to 2014, when it jumped up above the $0 line and registered a surplus for 2015-2017. In these charts you’ll sometimes see a narrow little bridge when a country switches from deficit to surplus or vice versa. You can learn the amount of the deficit or surplus by clicking on the dots along the line.

Watching the whole world

Here are the figures for 19 countries or groups. That big pinch you see in the middle of the chart reflects the effects of the 2008 financial crisis on world trade in the following year.

And here are the figures in a table

about to delete this Wednesday.4.18

The size of the federal budget deficit will rise over the next decade, in part due to recent tax and spending legislation, crossing the $1 trillion mark by 2020, according to new projections by the Congressional Budget Office.

In addition, the national debt, as measured by what is owed to the public, will nearly double, rising from $14.7 trillion in fiscal year 2017 to $28.7 trillion in 2029 according to the CBO, a nonpartisan office in Congress that produces independent analyses of budgetary and economic issues to support the Congressional budget process.

Projections: The Deficit

In April, 2018, the CBO published revised deficit projections factoring Public Law 115-97 (originally introduced to Congress as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act), the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018, and the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2018. This combination of legislation decreased the federal government’s anticipated revenue and increased estimated expenditures which modified the CBO’s deficit forecast as initially published in June, 2017. It is anticipated that the federal government’s outlays will continue to exceed receipts continuing a deficit trend over the next decade. Below, current deficit projections from the April, 2018 report are in green while the projections from June 2017 are in gray. The bar in 2017 represents the actual deficit.

History: Budget Deficits and Surpluses by President

For the past 40 fiscal years, there have been 36 deficits and four surpluses, all four occurring in the second Clinton administration. Historically, it is not typical to for the deficit to significantly expand outside of a recession, depression, or war. Here are the budget balances by fiscal year and presidential administraion. Since the federal government’s fiscal year begins on Oct. 1, there is some administration overlap. For example, the 2017 fiscal year budget was worked out under President Barack Obama and went into effect three and a half months before President Donald Trump took office. Click on the bars for details.

President at beginning of each fiscal year

  • Carter
  • Reagan
  • GH Bush
  • Clinton
  • GW Bush
  • Obama
  • Spending too much, taking in too little

    Another way of seeing the deficits and surpluses is to track the federal government’s revenue (the green area) and spending (the red line). When spending exceeds revenue, the result is a deficit.


    Running Deficits, Incresing Debt

    The CBO’s latest projections estimate that debt held by the public, which is the government’s debt owed to individuals, companies, local governments, foreign entities, and Federal Reserve Banks, will continue to increase over the next decade. Current projections estimate that the debt will rise to nearly $28.7 trillion by the end of 2028. Publically held debt differs from gross federal debt which includes or funds the government owes itself, or intragovernmental debt.


    Interest on Debt

    Just like a personal loan, the government pays interest on the money it borrows. The CBO projects that the net interest paid on its debt will nearly triple over the next decade from an estimated $316 billion in 2018 to $915 billion in 2028. A presumed climb in interest rates over the next few years factor in the exponential growth rate.


    Debt as a percentage of GDP

    The GDP, or gross domestic product, mesaures the value the goods and services produced by a country in a given period of time and indicates economic output. The national debt as a percentage of the GDP has grown steadily after the 2008 recession. The CBO predicts the debt will rise to nearly 100% of the nation’s GDP by 2028, which is the highest amount of debt relative to the size of the economy in the United States since 1946. The CBO cautions that growing debt can result in negative consequences such as less flexibility to respond to unexpected challenges and the risk of investors being unwilling to finance the government’s borrowing.

    16 overpasses, and then disaster

    The bus crash that injured all 43 passengers on board Sunday night occurred when a coach bus hit an overpass on the Southern State Parkway.

    Investigators said the driver was using a noncommercial GPS, which appears to have put him on a route from the Belt Parkway to the Southern State Parkway as he tried to get to his destination, the Walt Whitman Shops in Huntington Station.

    Commercial vehicles, school buses, tractor trailers and other tall vehicles are prohibited from driving on New York parkways because of overpasses that are lower than the standard bridge clearance. It has led to hundreds of bridge strikes through the years.

    If the driver in Sunday’s accident took the suspected route, he would have passed under 16 overpasses with clearance warning signs ranging from 12 feet, 3 inches to 7 feet, 3 inches before striking the 17th overpass at Eagle Avenue, with a minimum clearance of 7 feet, 7 inches. The height of the bus is roughly 12 feet, according to the bus manufacturer.

    State Police Maj. David Candelaria said that the bus would have been able to pass safely through the overpasses, “if you generally stay in the middle lane.”

    The suspected bus route on Sunday night

    Click on the yellow markers for details on the overpasses

    No sensors on the route

    While the suspected route had several warning signs about low overpasses, it did not have any of the sensors the state is installing to warn over-height vehicles.

    The state began a program last year to install “over-height vehicle detectors” at 13 parkway entrances in Nassau and Suffolk counties. The $4.3 million project saw five detectors installed in 2017, with an additional eight scheduled for this spring, but the state did not give a completion date.

    They join three detectors installed in 2014. Only five of those installed are operational.

    None of the sensors — installed or planned — was on the route investigators believe the bus driver took. One nonoperational sensor is in the area where the crash occurred, at the eastbound Southern State ramp at Eagle Avenue in Lakeview, but because the driver was already on the parkway, it wouldn’t have affected the outcome.

    Here are the approximate locations, based on the state descriptions, and Sunday’s accident site is marked with a red star.

    Bridge sensors installed or planned

    • Installed in 2017
    • Scheduled for spring 2018
    • Installed in 2014

    How the sensors work

    When operational, detectors on ramps send a beam that is set at a specific clearance height for the area.

    An over-height vehicle that drives through the sensor would trigger a warning message on the LED screen attached to the device.

    A camera linked to the state Department of Transportation would also record the incident.

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