A hurricane – and its forecast – are moving targets. As Jose makes its way north, forecasters are closely monitoring the storm’s conditions and movements in order to update their outlook accordingly.
If you want to keep up with the latest on Jose, here are some links and resources you can check regularly, as the forecast continues to be fine-tuned.
A rundown of local watches, warnings and advisoriesClick here to see conditions for your town
Where Jose’s center is expected to go and when
National Hurricane Center forecasters plot the storm’s track, using a cone-shaped image. The cone shows the range of potential paths for the center of the storm and is not indicating the size of the storm overall and where major impacts may be. There can be plenty of impacts outside that cone.
The image also shows color-coded areas where watches and warnings have been issuedClick here for latest version
Here, find an interactive map showing potential wind speeds.Click here for latest version
The cone of uncertainty: It’s not called that for nothing. The cone’s track record? “Statistically, two-thirds of all cyclones stay within this cone, while one-third strays outside the cone,” according to a briefing from the weather service’s Upton office.More on the cone of uncertainty
What storms look like from space
GOES-16 is the most advanced weather satellite NOAA has ever developed. It detects conditions from far above Earth. Click here to see Jose
How strong the winds will be
You can see here the probabilities for sustained wind speeds of 39 mph or more.Click here for latest version
When the winds will come
There are two options for viewing this map for residents with varying risk tolerance when it comes to making outdoor preparations.
Those with low risk tolerance, who want to get things done well in advance, can see the “earliest reasonable” times to expect tropical force winds to start. (Pictured below, as of Monday afternoon)
Others can click the “most likely” time option. (It’s a new tool, updated with new forecasts, from the National Hurricane Center.) Click here for latest version
Rain – how much?
Rain, and other impacts, are dependent on the storm’s ultimate strength and track. A track farther to the west means more rain for the Island – to the east, less.Click here for latest version
News updates on Twitter
Your forecasters are on social media, too. Keep track of their tweets for the latest information.